{"id":2401,"date":"2023-10-25T15:55:27","date_gmt":"2023-10-25T18:55:27","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/madeusp.com.br\/?post_type=made_publication&#038;p=2401"},"modified":"2024-11-01T19:25:25","modified_gmt":"2024-11-01T22:25:25","slug":"o-novo-programa-de-aceleracao-do-crescimento-pac-comparacao-com-os-pacs-anteriores-e-estimacao-de-seu-efeito-no-pib","status":"publish","type":"made_publication","link":"https:\/\/madeusp.com.br\/en\/publications\/articles\/o-novo-programa-de-aceleracao-do-crescimento-pac-comparacao-com-os-pacs-anteriores-e-estimacao-de-seu-efeito-no-pib\/","title":{"rendered":"O Novo Programa de Acelera\u00e7\u00e3o do Crescimento (PAC): compara\u00e7\u00e3o com os PACs anteriores e estima\u00e7\u00e3o de seu efeito no&nbsp;PIB"},"content":{"rendered":"<p class=\"p1\">Esta Nota visa ana\u00adli\u00adsar o Novo Pro\u00adgra\u00adma de Ace\u00adle\u00adra\u00ad\u00e7\u00e3o do Cres\u00adci\u00admen\u00adto (PAC), lan\u00ad\u00e7a\u00addo pelo Gover\u00adno Fede\u00adral no dia 11 de agos\u00adto de 2023, sob dois aspec\u00adtos: i) pon\u00adtu\u00adar suas seme\u00adlhan\u00ad\u00e7as e dife\u00adren\u00ad\u00e7as em rela\u00ad\u00e7\u00e3o aos pro\u00adgra\u00admas ante\u00adri\u00ado\u00adres; ii) ana\u00adli\u00adsar seu efei\u00adto mul\u00adti\u00adpli\u00adca\u00addor de ren\u00adda uti\u00adli\u00adzan\u00addo mul\u00adti\u00adpli\u00adca\u00addo\u00adres fis\u00adcais de inves\u00adti\u00admen\u00adto p\u00fabli\u00adco esti\u00adma\u00addos pela lite\u00adra\u00adtu\u00adra especializada.<\/p>\n<p class=\"p1\">O Novo PAC se divi\u00adde em nove eixos de atu\u00ada\u00ad\u00e7\u00e3o e pre\u00adv\u00ea um inves\u00adti\u00admen\u00adto total de R$1,7 tri\u00adlh\u00e3o, com par\u00adti\u00adci\u00adpa\u00ad\u00e7\u00f5es de recur\u00adsos p\u00fabli\u00adcos fede\u00adrais, de empre\u00adsas esta\u00adtais e pri\u00adva\u00addas, e com finan\u00adci\u00ada\u00admen\u00adto p\u00fabli\u00adco e pri\u00adva\u00addo. De todos esses recur\u00adsos, R$1,4 tri\u00adlh\u00e3o (82%) est\u00e1 pre\u00advis\u00adto para ser efe\u00adti\u00adva\u00addo at\u00e9 2026. De for\u00adma geral, o pla\u00adno bus\u00adca reto\u00admar obras ina\u00adca\u00adba\u00addas, como as que fazem par\u00adte do Pro\u00adgra\u00adma Minha Casa Minha Vida (PMCMV), e pri\u00ado\u00adri\u00adzar pro\u00adje\u00adtos de infra\u00ades\u00adtru\u00adtu\u00adra, mobi\u00adli\u00adda\u00adde urba\u00adna e gera\u00ad\u00e7\u00e3o de ener\u00adgia de bai\u00adxo carbono.<\/p>\n<p class=\"p2\">As edi\u00ad\u00e7\u00f5es ante\u00adri\u00ado\u00adres do PAC, lan\u00ad\u00e7a\u00addas em 2007 e 2011, j\u00e1 tinham como obje\u00adti\u00advos supe\u00adrar gar\u00adga\u00adlos de infra\u00ades\u00adtru\u00adtu\u00adra e pro\u00admo\u00adver o desen\u00advol\u00advi\u00admen\u00adto sus\u00adten\u00adt\u00e1\u00advel. Na pr\u00e1\u00adti\u00adca, con\u00adtu\u00addo, o PAC impul\u00adsi\u00ado\u00adnou seto\u00adres como habi\u00adta\u00ad\u00e7\u00e3o e cons\u00adtru\u00ad\u00e7\u00e3o civil, que t\u00eam um impac\u00adto posi\u00adti\u00advo nos empre\u00adgos e no cres\u00adci\u00admen\u00adto econ\u00f4\u00admi\u00adco, por\u00e9m pou\u00adco con\u00adtri\u00adbu\u00adem para a sus\u00adten\u00adta\u00adbi\u00adli\u00adda\u00adde. O Novo PAC reto\u00adma esses obje\u00adti\u00advos ini\u00adci\u00adais, com a novi\u00adda\u00adde da incor\u00adpo\u00adra\u00ad\u00e7\u00e3o e \u00eanfa\u00adse nas \u00e1re\u00adas rela\u00adci\u00ado\u00adna\u00addas com tran\u00adsi\u00ad\u00e7\u00e3o ener\u00adg\u00e9\u00adti\u00adca e a inclu\u00ads\u00e3o digital.<\/p>\n<p class=\"p1\">Com base na lite\u00adra\u00adtu\u00adra eco\u00adno\u00adm\u00e9\u00adtri\u00adca espe\u00adci\u00ada\u00adli\u00adza\u00adda, que apon\u00adta que os inves\u00adti\u00admen\u00adtos p\u00fabli\u00adcos pos\u00adsu\u00adem um rele\u00advan\u00adte efei\u00adto mul\u00adti\u00adpli\u00adca\u00addor de ren\u00adda, esti\u00adma\u00admos o pos\u00ads\u00ed\u00advel efei\u00adto do Novo PAC. Do mon\u00adtan\u00adte total de inves\u00adti\u00admen\u00adtos do pro\u00adgra\u00adma \u2013 R$1,7 tri\u00adlh\u00e3o de reais -, R$371 bilh\u00f5es de reais (21,82%) s\u00e3o oriun\u00addos do Gover\u00adno Fede\u00adral. Somen\u00adte estes inves\u00adti\u00admen\u00adtos p\u00fabli\u00adcos pode\u00adri\u00adam gerar, via efei\u00adto mul\u00adti\u00adpli\u00adca\u00addor, uma con\u00adtri\u00adbui\u00ad\u00e7\u00e3o para o PIB esti\u00adma\u00adda em R$1,25 tri\u00adlh\u00e3o de reais at\u00e9 o final do pro\u00adgra\u00adma. Se uti\u00adli\u00adzar\u00admos a mes\u00adma pro\u00adpor\u00ad\u00e7\u00e3o (21,82%) des\u00adtes inves\u00adti\u00admen\u00adtos advin\u00addos do Gover\u00adno Fede\u00adral at\u00e9 2026, tota\u00adli\u00adzan\u00addo R$305,5 bilh\u00f5es, esti\u00adma-se que a con\u00adtri\u00adbui\u00ad\u00e7\u00e3o para o PIB seria em tor\u00adno de R$1,03 tri\u00adlh\u00e3o de reais at\u00e9 2027. Essas con\u00adclu\u00ads\u00f5es, por\u00e9m, devem ser inter\u00adpre\u00adta\u00addas com cui\u00adda\u00addo, pois esta an\u00e1\u00adli\u00adse cal\u00adcu\u00adla ape\u00adnas o impac\u00adto do pro\u00adgra\u00adma no PIB levan\u00addo em con\u00adta o efei\u00adto mul\u00adti\u00adpli\u00adca\u00addor fis\u00adcal e man\u00adten\u00addo outros fato\u00adres constantes.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Esta Nota visa ana\u00adli\u00adsar o Novo Pro\u00adgra\u00adma de Ace\u00adle\u00adra\u00ad\u00e7\u00e3o do Cres\u00adci\u00admen\u00adto (PAC), lan\u00ad\u00e7a\u00addo pelo Gover\u00adno Fede\u00adral no dia 11 de agos\u00adto de 2023, sob dois aspec\u00adtos: i) pon\u00adtu\u00adar suas seme\u00adlhan\u00ad\u00e7as e dife\u00adren\u00ad\u00e7as em rela\u00ad\u00e7\u00e3o aos pro\u00adgra\u00admas ante\u00adri\u00ado\u00adres; ii) ana\u00adli\u00adsar seu efei\u00adto mul\u00adti\u00adpli\u00adca\u00addor de ren\u00adda uti\u00adli\u00adzan\u00addo mul\u00adti\u00adpli\u00adca\u00addo\u00adres fis\u00adcais de inves\u00adti\u00admen\u00adto p\u00fabli\u00adco esti\u00adma\u00addos pela lite\u00adra\u00adtu\u00adra espe\u00adci\u00ada\u00adli\u00adza\u00adda.&nbsp;O&nbsp;[\u2026]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"template":"","tags":[],"made_publication_type":[175],"class_list":["post-2401","made_publication","type-made_publication","status-publish","hentry","made_publication_type-policy-notes"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v28.3 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>O Novo Programa de Acelera\u00e7\u00e3o do Crescimento (PAC): compara\u00e7\u00e3o com os PACs anteriores e estima\u00e7\u00e3o de seu efeito no PIB &#8212; 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