{"id":2371,"date":"2021-09-30T15:40:50","date_gmt":"2021-09-30T18:40:50","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/madeusp.com.br\/?post_type=made_publication&p=2371"},"modified":"2024-11-01T19:36:05","modified_gmt":"2024-11-01T22:36:05","slug":"qual-forma-de-ajuste-fiscal-e-menos-danosa-para-o-crescimento-economico-uma-analise-do-efeito-de-tributos-diretos-e-indiretos-para-paises-da-ocde","status":"publish","type":"made_publication","link":"https:\/\/madeusp.com.br\/en\/publications\/articles\/qual-forma-de-ajuste-fiscal-e-menos-danosa-para-o-crescimento-economico-uma-analise-do-efeito-de-tributos-diretos-e-indiretos-para-paises-da-ocde\/","title":{"rendered":"Qual forma de ajuste fiscal \u00e9 menos danosa para o crescimento econ\u00f4mico? Uma an\u00e1lise do efeito de tributos diretos e indiretos para pa\u00edses da OCDE"},"content":{"rendered":"

Uma s\u00e9rie de esfor\u00ad\u00e7os de pes\u00adqui\u00adsa recen\u00adtes apon\u00adtam para evi\u00add\u00ean\u00adci\u00adas de que epi\u00ads\u00f3\u00addi\u00ados de con\u00adso\u00adli\u00adda\u00ad\u00e7\u00e3o fis\u00adcal pos\u00adsu\u00adem impac\u00adtos adver\u00adsos sobre o cres\u00adci\u00admen\u00adto econ\u00f4\u00admi\u00adco e sobre a dis\u00adtri\u00adbui\u00ad\u00e7\u00e3o de ren\u00adda, estan\u00addo esses efei\u00adtos sujei\u00adtos \u00e0 vari\u00ada\u00ad\u00e7\u00e3o con\u00adfor\u00adme se d\u00e1 o dese\u00adnho ins\u00adti\u00adtu\u00adci\u00ado\u00adnal da pol\u00ed\u00adti\u00adca esco\u00adlhi\u00adda (cor\u00adte de des\u00adpe\u00adsas ou ele\u00adva\u00ad\u00e7\u00e3o de tri\u00adbu\u00adtos, por exem\u00adplo). Esta nota pro\u00adcu\u00adra con\u00adtri\u00adbuir para tal deba\u00adte ao tra\u00adtar espe\u00adci\u00adfi\u00adca\u00admen\u00adte dos impac\u00adtos que ajus\u00adtes fis\u00adcais via tri\u00adbu\u00adta\u00ad\u00e7\u00e3o podem ter sobre a taxa de cres\u00adci\u00admen\u00adto do PIB. Nes\u00adte caso, par\u00adte-se da base de dados de Ale\u00adsi\u00adna et al (2017) que traz epi\u00ads\u00f3\u00addi\u00ados de con\u00adso\u00adli\u00adda\u00ad\u00e7\u00e3o fis\u00adcal para 16 pa\u00ed\u00adses da Orga\u00adni\u00adza\u00ad\u00e7\u00e3o para Coo\u00adpe\u00adra\u00ad\u00e7\u00e3o e Desen\u00advol\u00advi\u00admen\u00adto Econ\u00f4\u00admi\u00adco (OCDE) entre 1978 e 2014, para ava\u00adli\u00adar, uti\u00adli\u00adzan\u00addo o m\u00e9to\u00addo Local Pro\u00adjec\u00adti\u00adons (Jord\u00e0, 2005), como os efei\u00adtos sobre o cres\u00adci\u00admen\u00adto econ\u00f4\u00admi\u00adco de ajus\u00adtes fis\u00adcais base\u00ada\u00addos em tri\u00adbu\u00adtos dire\u00adtos dife\u00adrem daque\u00adles base\u00ada\u00addos em tri\u00adbu\u00adtos indi\u00adre\u00adtos. Essa dife\u00adren\u00adci\u00ada\u00ad\u00e7\u00e3o impor\u00adta por duas raz\u00f5es: seguin\u00addo par\u00adte da lite\u00adra\u00adtu\u00adra, tri\u00adbu\u00adtos dire\u00adtos ten\u00addem a ser mais pro\u00adgres\u00adsi\u00advos enquan\u00adto tri\u00adbu\u00adtos indi\u00adre\u00adtos ten\u00addem a ser mais regres\u00adsi\u00advos; os impac\u00adtos dis\u00adtri\u00adbu\u00adti\u00advos da tri\u00adbu\u00adta\u00ad\u00e7\u00e3o exer\u00adcem influ\u00ean\u00adcia sobre a ati\u00advi\u00adda\u00adde econ\u00f4\u00admi\u00adca. Os resul\u00adta\u00addos encon\u00adtra\u00addos para os pa\u00ed\u00adses da OCDE suge\u00adrem que ajus\u00adtes fis\u00adcais rea\u00adli\u00adza\u00addos por meio de tri\u00adbu\u00adta\u00ad\u00e7\u00e3o indi\u00adre\u00adta ten\u00addem a ser mais noci\u00advos \u00e0 taxa de cres\u00adci\u00admen\u00adto do PIB. Encon\u00adtra-se que um cho\u00adque fis\u00adcal de 1% do PIB via tri\u00adbu\u00adta\u00ad\u00e7\u00e3o indi\u00adre\u00adta pro\u00admo\u00adve uma que\u00adda de 1,493% do PIB no pri\u00admei\u00adro ano e 4,284% no quin\u00adto ano, acu\u00admu\u00adla\u00adda\u00admen\u00adte. J\u00e1 os tri\u00adbu\u00adtos dire\u00adtos n\u00e3o pare\u00adcem exer\u00adcer um impac\u00adto nega\u00adti\u00advo sobre o n\u00edvel da ati\u00advi\u00adda\u00adde des\u00adses pa\u00edses.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Uma s\u00e9rie de esfor\u00ad\u00e7os de pes\u00adqui\u00adsa recen\u00adtes apon\u00adtam para evi\u00add\u00ean\u00adci\u00adas de que epi\u00ads\u00f3\u00addi\u00ados de con\u00adso\u00adli\u00adda\u00ad\u00e7\u00e3o fis\u00adcal pos\u00adsu\u00adem impac\u00adtos adver\u00adsos sobre o cres\u00adci\u00admen\u00adto econ\u00f4\u00admi\u00adco e sobre a dis\u00adtri\u00adbui\u00ad\u00e7\u00e3o de ren\u00adda, estan\u00addo esses efei\u00adtos sujei\u00adtos \u00e0 vari\u00ada\u00ad\u00e7\u00e3o con\u00adfor\u00adme se d\u00e1 o dese\u00adnho ins\u00adti\u00adtu\u00adci\u00ado\u00adnal da pol\u00ed\u00adti\u00adca esco\u00adlhi\u00adda (cor\u00adte de des\u00adpe\u00adsas ou ele\u00adva\u00ad\u00e7\u00e3o de tri\u00adbu\u00adtos, por exem\u00adplo). Esta nota [\u2026]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"template":"","tags":[],"made_publication_type":[175],"class_list":["post-2371","made_publication","type-made_publication","status-publish","hentry","made_publication_type-policy-notes"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nQual forma de ajuste fiscal \u00e9 menos danosa para o crescimento econ\u00f4mico? Uma an\u00e1lise do efeito de tributos diretos e indiretos para pa\u00edses da OCDE — Made<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/madeusp.com.br\/en\/publications\/articles\/qual-forma-de-ajuste-fiscal-e-menos-danosa-para-o-crescimento-economico-uma-analise-do-efeito-de-tributos-diretos-e-indiretos-para-paises-da-ocde\/\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Est. reading time\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"1 minute\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\\\/\\\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/madeusp.com.br\\\/en\\\/publications\\\/articles\\\/qual-forma-de-ajuste-fiscal-e-menos-danosa-para-o-crescimento-economico-uma-analise-do-efeito-de-tributos-diretos-e-indiretos-para-paises-da-ocde\\\/\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/madeusp.com.br\\\/en\\\/publications\\\/articles\\\/qual-forma-de-ajuste-fiscal-e-menos-danosa-para-o-crescimento-economico-uma-analise-do-efeito-de-tributos-diretos-e-indiretos-para-paises-da-ocde\\\/\",\"name\":\"Qual forma de ajuste fiscal \u00e9 menos danosa para o crescimento econ\u00f4mico? Uma an\u00e1lise do efeito de tributos diretos e indiretos para pa\u00edses da OCDE — Made\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/madeusp.com.br\\\/en\\\/#website\"},\"datePublished\":\"2021-09-30T18:40:50+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2024-11-01T22:36:05+00:00\",\"breadcrumb\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/madeusp.com.br\\\/en\\\/publications\\\/articles\\\/qual-forma-de-ajuste-fiscal-e-menos-danosa-para-o-crescimento-economico-uma-analise-do-efeito-de-tributos-diretos-e-indiretos-para-paises-da-ocde\\\/#breadcrumb\"},\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"ReadAction\",\"target\":[\"https:\\\/\\\/madeusp.com.br\\\/en\\\/publications\\\/articles\\\/qual-forma-de-ajuste-fiscal-e-menos-danosa-para-o-crescimento-economico-uma-analise-do-efeito-de-tributos-diretos-e-indiretos-para-paises-da-ocde\\\/\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"BreadcrumbList\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/madeusp.com.br\\\/en\\\/publications\\\/articles\\\/qual-forma-de-ajuste-fiscal-e-menos-danosa-para-o-crescimento-economico-uma-analise-do-efeito-de-tributos-diretos-e-indiretos-para-paises-da-ocde\\\/#breadcrumb\",\"itemListElement\":[{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":1,\"name\":\"In\u00edcio\",\"item\":\"https:\\\/\\\/madeusp.com.br\\\/en\\\/\"},{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":2,\"name\":\"Publica\u00e7\u00f5es\",\"item\":\"https:\\\/\\\/madeusp.com.br\\\/en\\\/publications\\\/articles\\\/\"},{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":3,\"name\":\"Qual forma de ajuste fiscal \u00e9 menos danosa para o crescimento econ\u00f4mico? Uma an\u00e1lise do efeito de tributos diretos e indiretos para pa\u00edses da OCDE\"}]},{\"@type\":\"WebSite\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/madeusp.com.br\\\/en\\\/#website\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/madeusp.com.br\\\/en\\\/\",\"name\":\"Made\",\"description\":\"Research Center on Macroeconomics of Inequalities\",\"publisher\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/madeusp.com.br\\\/en\\\/#organization\"},\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"SearchAction\",\"target\":{\"@type\":\"EntryPoint\",\"urlTemplate\":\"https:\\\/\\\/madeusp.com.br\\\/en\\\/?s={search_term_string}\"},\"query-input\":{\"@type\":\"PropertyValueSpecification\",\"valueRequired\":true,\"valueName\":\"search_term_string\"}}],\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\"},{\"@type\":\"Organization\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/madeusp.com.br\\\/en\\\/#organization\",\"name\":\"Made\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/madeusp.com.br\\\/en\\\/\",\"logo\":{\"@type\":\"ImageObject\",\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/madeusp.com.br\\\/en\\\/#\\\/schema\\\/logo\\\/image\\\/\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/madeusp.com.br\\\/wp-content\\\/uploads\\\/2020\\\/10\\\/fav-ico-made-01.png\",\"contentUrl\":\"https:\\\/\\\/madeusp.com.br\\\/wp-content\\\/uploads\\\/2020\\\/10\\\/fav-ico-made-01.png\",\"width\":4500,\"height\":4500,\"caption\":\"Made\"},\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/madeusp.com.br\\\/en\\\/#\\\/schema\\\/logo\\\/image\\\/\"}}]}<\/script>\n<!-- \/ Yoast SEO plugin. -->","yoast_head_json":{"title":"Qual forma de ajuste fiscal \u00e9 menos danosa para o crescimento econ\u00f4mico? Uma an\u00e1lise do efeito de tributos diretos e indiretos para pa\u00edses da OCDE — Made","robots":{"index":"index","follow":"follow","max-snippet":"max-snippet:-1","max-image-preview":"max-image-preview:large","max-video-preview":"max-video-preview:-1"},"canonical":"https:\/\/madeusp.com.br\/en\/publications\/articles\/qual-forma-de-ajuste-fiscal-e-menos-danosa-para-o-crescimento-economico-uma-analise-do-efeito-de-tributos-diretos-e-indiretos-para-paises-da-ocde\/","twitter_misc":{"Est. reading time":"1 minute"},"schema":{"@context":"https:\/\/schema.org","@graph":[{"@type":"WebPage","@id":"https:\/\/madeusp.com.br\/en\/publications\/articles\/qual-forma-de-ajuste-fiscal-e-menos-danosa-para-o-crescimento-economico-uma-analise-do-efeito-de-tributos-diretos-e-indiretos-para-paises-da-ocde\/","url":"https:\/\/madeusp.com.br\/en\/publications\/articles\/qual-forma-de-ajuste-fiscal-e-menos-danosa-para-o-crescimento-economico-uma-analise-do-efeito-de-tributos-diretos-e-indiretos-para-paises-da-ocde\/","name":"Qual forma de ajuste fiscal \u00e9 menos danosa para o crescimento econ\u00f4mico? Uma an\u00e1lise do efeito de tributos diretos e indiretos para pa\u00edses da OCDE — Made","isPartOf":{"@id":"https:\/\/madeusp.com.br\/en\/#website"},"datePublished":"2021-09-30T18:40:50+00:00","dateModified":"2024-11-01T22:36:05+00:00","breadcrumb":{"@id":"https:\/\/madeusp.com.br\/en\/publications\/articles\/qual-forma-de-ajuste-fiscal-e-menos-danosa-para-o-crescimento-economico-uma-analise-do-efeito-de-tributos-diretos-e-indiretos-para-paises-da-ocde\/#breadcrumb"},"inLanguage":"en-US","potentialAction":[{"@type":"ReadAction","target":["https:\/\/madeusp.com.br\/en\/publications\/articles\/qual-forma-de-ajuste-fiscal-e-menos-danosa-para-o-crescimento-economico-uma-analise-do-efeito-de-tributos-diretos-e-indiretos-para-paises-da-ocde\/"]}]},{"@type":"BreadcrumbList","@id":"https:\/\/madeusp.com.br\/en\/publications\/articles\/qual-forma-de-ajuste-fiscal-e-menos-danosa-para-o-crescimento-economico-uma-analise-do-efeito-de-tributos-diretos-e-indiretos-para-paises-da-ocde\/#breadcrumb","itemListElement":[{"@type":"ListItem","position":1,"name":"In\u00edcio","item":"https:\/\/madeusp.com.br\/en\/"},{"@type":"ListItem","position":2,"name":"Publica\u00e7\u00f5es","item":"https:\/\/madeusp.com.br\/en\/publications\/articles\/"},{"@type":"ListItem","position":3,"name":"Qual forma de ajuste fiscal \u00e9 menos danosa para o crescimento econ\u00f4mico? Uma an\u00e1lise do efeito de tributos diretos e indiretos para pa\u00edses da OCDE"}]},{"@type":"WebSite","@id":"https:\/\/madeusp.com.br\/en\/#website","url":"https:\/\/madeusp.com.br\/en\/","name":"Made","description":"Research Center on Macroeconomics of Inequalities","publisher":{"@id":"https:\/\/madeusp.com.br\/en\/#organization"},"potentialAction":[{"@type":"SearchAction","target":{"@type":"EntryPoint","urlTemplate":"https:\/\/madeusp.com.br\/en\/?s={search_term_string}"},"query-input":{"@type":"PropertyValueSpecification","valueRequired":true,"valueName":"search_term_string"}}],"inLanguage":"en-US"},{"@type":"Organization","@id":"https:\/\/madeusp.com.br\/en\/#organization","name":"Made","url":"https:\/\/madeusp.com.br\/en\/","logo":{"@type":"ImageObject","inLanguage":"en-US","@id":"https:\/\/madeusp.com.br\/en\/#\/schema\/logo\/image\/","url":"https:\/\/madeusp.com.br\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/10\/fav-ico-made-01.png","contentUrl":"https:\/\/madeusp.com.br\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/10\/fav-ico-made-01.png","width":4500,"height":4500,"caption":"Made"},"image":{"@id":"https:\/\/madeusp.com.br\/en\/#\/schema\/logo\/image\/"}}]}},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/madeusp.com.br\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/made_publication\/2371","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/madeusp.com.br\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/made_publication"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/madeusp.com.br\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/made_publication"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/madeusp.com.br\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=2371"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/madeusp.com.br\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=2371"},{"taxonomy":"made_publication_type","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/madeusp.com.br\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/made_publication_type?post=2371"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}