{"id":2369,"date":"2021-08-11T15:39:25","date_gmt":"2021-08-11T18:39:25","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/madeusp.com.br\/?post_type=made_publication&p=2369"},"modified":"2024-11-01T19:36:49","modified_gmt":"2024-11-01T22:36:49","slug":"estimacao-do-impacto-na-producao-e-no-emprego-do-plano-de-recuperacao-verde-da-amazonia-legal","status":"publish","type":"made_publication","link":"https:\/\/madeusp.com.br\/en\/publications\/articles\/estimacao-do-impacto-na-producao-e-no-emprego-do-plano-de-recuperacao-verde-da-amazonia-legal\/","title":{"rendered":"Estima\u00e7\u00e3o do Impacto na produ\u00e7\u00e3o e no emprego do Plano de Recupera\u00e7\u00e3o Verde da Amaz\u00f4nia Legal"},"content":{"rendered":"

Anun\u00adci\u00ada\u00addo em julho de 2021, o Pla\u00adno de Recu\u00adpe\u00adra\u00ad\u00e7\u00e3o Ver\u00adde da Amaz\u00f4\u00adnia Legal (PRV) \u00e9 uma ini\u00adci\u00ada\u00adti\u00adva que, resu\u00admi\u00adda\u00admen\u00adte, tem como obje\u00adti\u00advo enfren\u00adtar a atu\u00adal cri\u00adse econ\u00f4\u00admi\u00adca na regi\u00e3o a par\u00adtir da mobi\u00adli\u00adza\u00ad\u00e7\u00e3o da estru\u00adtu\u00adra pro\u00addu\u00adti\u00adva na dire\u00ad\u00e7\u00e3o da tran\u00adsi\u00ad\u00e7\u00e3o para uma eco\u00adno\u00admia de bai\u00adxo car\u00adbo\u00adno. Focan\u00addo na gera\u00ad\u00e7\u00e3o de ren\u00adda e empre\u00adgo a par\u00adtir do incen\u00adti\u00advo a pr\u00e1\u00adti\u00adcas econ\u00f4\u00admi\u00adcas sus\u00adten\u00adt\u00e1\u00adveis, a pri\u00admei\u00adra fase do PRV con\u00adcen\u00adtra os recur\u00adsos em pro\u00adje\u00adtos que ende\u00adre\u00ad\u00e7am ques\u00adt\u00f5es estru\u00adtu\u00adrais da Amaz\u00f4\u00adnia Legal, como o des\u00adma\u00adta\u00admen\u00adto ile\u00adgal, o poten\u00adci\u00adal ain\u00adda pou\u00adco explo\u00adra\u00addo da bio\u00ade\u00adco\u00adno\u00admia, as difi\u00adcul\u00adda\u00addes de ino\u00adva\u00ad\u00e7\u00e3o e de capa\u00adci\u00adta\u00ad\u00e7\u00e3o da m\u00e3o-de-obra e os gar\u00adga\u00adlos de infra\u00ades\u00adtru\u00adtu\u00adra. Ao todo, essa pri\u00admei\u00adra fase pre\u00adv\u00ea inves\u00adti\u00admen\u00adtos de R$ 1,5 bilh\u00e3o que ser\u00e3o dis\u00adtri\u00adbu\u00ed\u00addos entre os esta\u00addos da regi\u00e3o obe\u00adde\u00adcen\u00addo a cri\u00adt\u00e9\u00adri\u00ados espe\u00adc\u00ed\u00adfi\u00adcos e ten\u00addo como foco os qua\u00adtro eixos cen\u00adtrais do Plano.<\/p>\n

Dada a impor\u00adt\u00e2n\u00adcia do PRV n\u00e3o ape\u00adnas para o desen\u00advol\u00advi\u00admen\u00adto da regi\u00e3o, mas tam\u00adb\u00e9m para o deba\u00adte sobre a urg\u00ean\u00adcia da tran\u00adsi\u00ad\u00e7\u00e3o para uma eco\u00adno\u00admia de bai\u00adxo car\u00adbo\u00adno no Bra\u00adsil, a pre\u00adsen\u00adte nota pro\u00adcu\u00adra esti\u00admar, com base na lite\u00adra\u00adtu\u00adra emp\u00ed\u00adri\u00adca espe\u00adci\u00ada\u00adli\u00adza\u00adda, o impac\u00adto que o PRV pode gerar na pro\u00addu\u00ad\u00e7\u00e3o e no empre\u00adgo da Amaz\u00f4\u00adnia Legal no cur\u00adto pra\u00adzo. As esti\u00adma\u00adti\u00advas s\u00e3o pro\u00addu\u00adzi\u00addas a par\u00adtir de estu\u00addos que cal\u00adcu\u00adlam, por meio do m\u00e9to\u00addo das matri\u00adzes insu\u00admo-pro\u00addu\u00adto, mul\u00adti\u00adpli\u00adca\u00addo\u00adres de pro\u00addu\u00adto e de empre\u00adgo para o Bra\u00adsil, para a Amaz\u00f4\u00adnia Legal e para os esta\u00addos da regi\u00e3o. Os resul\u00adta\u00addos aqui obti\u00addos, embo\u00adra devi\u00adda\u00admen\u00adte fun\u00adda\u00admen\u00adta\u00addos, repre\u00adsen\u00adtam pro\u00adpo\u00adsi\u00ad\u00e7\u00f5es ain\u00adda pre\u00adli\u00admi\u00adna\u00adres e de car\u00e1\u00adter apro\u00adxi\u00adma\u00addo, uma vez que est\u00e3o sujei\u00adtas a uma s\u00e9rie de pre\u00admis\u00adsas meto\u00addo\u00adl\u00f3\u00adgi\u00adcas a serem discutidas.<\/p>\n

A par\u00adtir da con\u00adsi\u00adde\u00adra\u00ad\u00e7\u00e3o des\u00adses estu\u00addos, esta nota suge\u00adre que os recur\u00adsos de tr\u00eas eixos des\u00adsa fase pre\u00adli\u00admi\u00adnar do PRV (tota\u00adli\u00adzan\u00addo R$ 1,125 bi) s\u00e3o capa\u00adzes de gerar um impac\u00adto na pro\u00addu\u00ad\u00e7\u00e3o que vai at\u00e9 R$ 3,7 bilh\u00f5es, algo em tor\u00adno de 0,5% do PIB da Amaz\u00f4\u00adnia Legal. Com rela\u00ad\u00e7\u00e3o \u00e0 gera\u00ad\u00e7\u00e3o de empre\u00adgos, o impac\u00adto esti\u00adma\u00addo do PRV vai at\u00e9 400 mil novos pos\u00adtos de tra\u00adba\u00adlho, um valor que, se con\u00adsi\u00adde\u00adra\u00adda a popu\u00adla\u00ad\u00e7\u00e3o deso\u00adcu\u00adpa\u00adda na regi\u00e3o no pri\u00admei\u00adro tri\u00admes\u00adtre de 2020, equi\u00adva\u00adle\u00adria a at\u00e9 25% des\u00adse contingente.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Anun\u00adci\u00ada\u00addo em julho de 2021, o Pla\u00adno de Recu\u00adpe\u00adra\u00ad\u00e7\u00e3o Ver\u00adde da Amaz\u00f4\u00adnia Legal (PRV) \u00e9 uma ini\u00adci\u00ada\u00adti\u00adva que, resu\u00admi\u00adda\u00admen\u00adte, tem como obje\u00adti\u00advo enfren\u00adtar a atu\u00adal cri\u00adse econ\u00f4\u00admi\u00adca na regi\u00e3o a par\u00adtir da mobi\u00adli\u00adza\u00ad\u00e7\u00e3o da estru\u00adtu\u00adra pro\u00addu\u00adti\u00adva na dire\u00ad\u00e7\u00e3o da tran\u00adsi\u00ad\u00e7\u00e3o para uma eco\u00adno\u00admia de bai\u00adxo car\u00adbo\u00adno. Focan\u00addo na gera\u00ad\u00e7\u00e3o de ren\u00adda e empre\u00adgo a partir [\u2026]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"template":"","tags":[],"made_publication_type":[175],"class_list":["post-2369","made_publication","type-made_publication","status-publish","hentry","made_publication_type-policy-notes"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nEstima\u00e7\u00e3o do Impacto na produ\u00e7\u00e3o e no emprego do Plano de Recupera\u00e7\u00e3o Verde da Amaz\u00f4nia Legal — Made<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/madeusp.com.br\/en\/publications\/articles\/estimacao-do-impacto-na-producao-e-no-emprego-do-plano-de-recuperacao-verde-da-amazonia-legal\/\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Est. reading time\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"2 minutes\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" 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